Commodity Origins

Did output grow because farmers planted more or farmed better?

Of the 31 crops whose output changed by 10% or more over the last ten years, the change came mainly from higher or lower yield for 8 and mainly from more or less harvested land for 23. The fastest grower, avocados, rose 122%: harvested area +80% and yield +24%.

World output equals harvested area multiplied by yield per hectare, so growth can be split exactly into the two. Each end of the ten-year window is a three-year average, because a single year's weather can swing yield by a tenth or more, and only crops where area is reported for at least 90% of output at both ends are included. The split, shown as the share of growth from area, is given only where output changed by at least 10%; for a crop that barely moved it is not meaningful. Click a heading to sort.

Ten-year growth in world output, split into area and yield
CropOutputHarvested areaYieldShare of growth from area
Avocados+122%+80%+24%73%
Cardamom+105%+74%+18%77%
Ginger+103%+26%+61%32%
Pepper+94%+57%+23%68%
Pistachios+59%+73%−8%118%
Yams+56%+49%+4%90%
Lentils+53%+45%+6%87%
Hazelnuts+41%+20%+17%54%
Tea+39%+48%−6%119%
Linseed+38%+48%−6%120%
Cashews+38%+17%+19%47%
Soybeans+36%+24%+9%71%
Plantains+36%+50%−9%132%
Chickpeas+34%+11%+21%35%
Dates+31%+17%+12%59%
Almonds+29%+31%−2%107%
Cloves+28%+18%+9%65%
Mangoes+28%+9%+18%33%
Canola+28%+17%+9%65%
Coffee+25%+19%+5%78%
Corn+23%+13%+9%58%
Peanuts+23%+15%+7%67%
Cassava+20%+29%−6%136%
Bananas+20%+3%+17%17%
Pineapples+20%+6%+13%31%
Apples+18%−9%+29%-54%
Cocoa+15%+8%+7%52%
Cinnamon+15%+42%−19%245%
Wheat+14%+0%+14%1%
Natural rubber+13%+24%−9%174%
Quinoa+10%−2%+12%—
Tomatoes+10%+5%+4%—
Rice+9%+4%+5%—
Sesame seed+7%+12%−5%—
Jute+6%−1%+7%—
Potatoes+5%−8%+14%—
Grapes+5%−4%+9%—
Barley+4%−10%+15%—
Orange juice+1%−7%+8%—
Oranges+1%−7%+8%—
Oats−2%−11%+10%—
Sorghum−4%−3%−2%—
Sisal−7%−17%+13%—
Vanilla−7%−5%−3%—
Tobacco−20%−21%+1%102%

Where a big producer changed most

The same split for the largest producers (at least 5% of world output) whose output moved by 30% or more.

Country-level output growth split into area and yield
CropCountryOutputAreaYield
HazelnutsChile+592%+368%+48%
LentilsAustralia+563%+418%+28%
Natural rubberIvory Coast (Côte d'Ivoire)+437%+436%+0%
LinseedRussia+315%+228%+26%
AvocadosColombia+310%+258%+15%
GingerIndia+236%+40%+139%
PepperBurkina Faso+211%+215%−1%
AvocadosIndonesia+198%+205%−2%
PepperBrazil+197%+119%+36%
CardamomIndia+193%+17%+150%
AvocadosKenya+188%+158%+12%
AvocadosPeru+186%+143%+18%
CocoaEcuador+167%+35%+99%
CashewsTanzania+158%+134%+10%
PlantainsUganda+158%+169%−4%
PistachiosTurkey (Türkiye)+151%+703%−69%

FAOSTAT production and area harvested, three-year means ending 2024 against the same ten years earlier (for a few crops the latest year is earlier). Area harvested can exceed land area when a plot is harvested more than once a year, and it is reported differently for tree crops, so read a large area change for perennials as changes in bearing area. Livestock and other items without an area are not included.

More patterns

Every figure is computed from the same tables as the commodity pages. The full set is in patterns.json, and single facts from it appear each day on the facts page.