Commodity Origins

Commodity prices in January 2026: the biggest changes

In January 2026, 29 of 43 benchmark prices rose and 12 fell, with 2 unchanged; the median change was +1.9%. Natural gas rose most, +78.4%: largest one-month rise since February 2021, the 5th rise in a row. Cocoa fell most, −14.0%. 6 prices set a record in cash terms: silver, platinum, tin, copper, gold, beef.

Each figure compares the monthly average price with the previous month's, for the primary World Bank Pink Sheet benchmark of each commodity (43 series reported this month). Prices are monthly averages of benchmark quotes and lag the market; this is not investment advice. Click a commodity for its full price history.

Biggest gains

Largest one-month price rises, January 2026
CommodityPriceMonth12 monthsHow unusual
Natural gas
US Henry Hub
$7.58/MMBtu+78.4%+85%Largest one-month rise since February 2021, the 5th rise in a row
Silver
Handy & Harman, New York
$92.1/troy oz+47.8%+203%Largest one-month rise since January 1980, the 9th rise in a row
Platinum
London afternoon fix
$2,434/troy oz+28.6%+156%Largest one-month rise since January 1980
Oranges
Mediterranean exporters, CIF France
$1.11/kg+20.7%−57%Largest one-month rise since June 2012
Tin
LME cash
$49,538/t+20.2%+67%Largest one-month rise in the series, which starts in 1960, the 8th rise in a row
Nickel
LME cash
$17,769/t+19.4%+15%Largest one-month rise since March 2022
Copper
LME cash, grade A cathode
$13,012/t+10.4%+45%Largest one-month rise since July 2020, the 5th rise in a row
Gold
London PM fix
$4,753/troy oz+10.3%+75%Largest one-month rise since October 2025, the 6th rise in a row

Biggest falls

Largest one-month price falls, January 2026
CommodityPriceMonth12 monthsHow unusual
Cocoa
Cocoa (ICE New York and London average)
$4.97/kg−14.0%−54%Largest one-month fall since October 2025
Coconut oil
Philippines/Indonesia, CIF Rotterdam
$2,197/t−5.4%+11%Largest one-month fall since January 2023, the 6th fall in a row
Tea
Average of three auctions
$2.73/kg−5.2%−2%Largest one-month fall since January 2025, the 3rd fall in a row
Coffee
Arabica (ICE New York, other milds)
$8.02/kg−4.5%+3%Largest one-month fall since December 2025
Rice
Thai 5% broken, Bangkok FOB
$408/t−3.8%−15%Largest one-month fall since October 2025
Soybeans
US, CIF Rotterdam
$425/t−3.4%+3%Largest one-month fall since December 2024
Canola
Rapeseed oil, crude, FOB Rotterdam
$1,223/t−2.8%+6%Largest one-month fall since July 2025, the 4th fall in a row
Chicken
US Gulf ports, broiler cuts
$1.75/kg−1.7%+14%Largest one-month fall since August 2025

New records

These prices reached their highest monthly average in the series in January 2026, in cash terms: silver ($92.1/troy oz), platinum ($2,434/troy oz), tin ($49,538/t), copper ($13,012/t), gold ($4,753/troy oz), beef ($7.97/kg). A cash record is not the same as a record after inflation; the real-prices report shows every price against its inflation-adjusted peak.

Long runs

Prices that have now moved in the same direction for four or more months in a row: silver, 9 rises (+47.8% in January 2026); tin, 8 rises (+20.2% in January 2026); plywood, 7 falls (−0.5% in January 2026); gold, 6 rises (+10.3% in January 2026); coconut oil, 6 falls (−5.4% in January 2026); natural gas, 5 rises (+78.4% in January 2026); copper, 5 rises (+10.4% in January 2026); aluminum, 5 rises (+9.2% in January 2026).

By category

Average price change by category, January 2026
CategoryAverage changePrices
Energy+28.9%3
Metals+15.1%10
Fruit & vegetables+12.1%2
Fibres & other raw materials+3.2%2
Livestock, meat & dairy+3.1%3
Fertilizers+1.7%4
Oilseeds & vegetable oils+0.7%7
Timber & forest products+0.2%3
Grains & cereals−0.5%3
Softs−4.7%5

A simple average of the percentage changes of the benchmark prices in each category, not weighted by market size.

Biggest changes over twelve months

Largest twelve-month price changes to January 2026
CommodityPrice12 monthsThis month
Silver$92.1/troy oz+203%+47.8%
Platinum$2,434/troy oz+156%+28.6%
Natural gas$7.58/MMBtu+85%+78.4%
Gold$4,753/troy oz+75%+10.3%
Tin$49,538/t+67%+20.2%
Oranges$1.11/kg−57%+20.7%
Cocoa$4.97/kg−54%−14.0%
Copper$13,012/t+45%+10.4%

See also every benchmark price, the pattern reports, and the price movers feed. Data: monthly.json.